San Francisco | December 16
Oracle's credit default swaps trade at 125 basis points. Three times Microsoft. Junk territory. The rating agencies still call it investment grade. The split is structural: Microsoft and Meta route AI infrastructure debt through special purpose vehicles that never touch their balance sheets. Oracle loaded $100 billion directly onto its books. Barclays projects they exhaust cash by November 2026.
Cloudflare's year-end data confirms what publishers already knew. Googlebot crawls 11.6 percent of the web. Block it, lose your search rankings. The DOJ's proposed remedies don't touch crawler architecture. The fine print always wins.
Stay curious,
Marcus Schuler
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